Game 3 of the NBA Finals between the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns has major implications for both teams, but it’s no secret that the Bucks need a win to keep their hopes of winning the title alive.
The Bucks are currently 4-point favorites over the Suns, and they have been fantastic at home this postseason going 7-1 straight-up and 5-3 against the spread. Still, WynnBET has the Suns going up 3-1 in the series (-116) as the most likely outcome through the first four games of the series.
Cam Johnson Goes Over 1.5 3-Pointers
In Game 2, BetSided’s Donnavan Smoot took the over on Johnson’s 3-point prop as his most confident bet and it hit when the Suns forward went 2-for-4 from downtown.
Johnson is shooting a blistering 53.3 percent from 3-point range over his last five games, and he’s hit multiple shots from deep in four of those five contests.
He’s hit two shots from deep in each of the first two games of the NBA Finals, yet WynnBET has the over on his prop for tonight’s game set at +100 odds.
Phoenix hit 20 3-pointers as a team in Game 2, and the Suns clearly have made it a priority to get open looks for Johnson, Jae Crowder and Mikal Bridges this series.
Devin Booker Goes Over 10.5 Combined Assists and Rebounds
Booker is only averaging 6.0 assists and 3.5 rebounds per game in the NBA Finals, but he has gone over 10.5 combined assists and rebounds in two of his last three playoff games.
WynnBET is giving Booker just +110 odds to complete the feat in Game 3, but given the guard’s playmaking prowess in the Suns’ pick-and-roll scheme, I like his chances of hitting the over.
Booker will need to attack the glass much more like he did in Game 2 (five rebounds) than Game 1 (two rebounds), but he looked to turn a corner everywhere in Game 2. Getting plus odds on this prop when Booker is all but guaranteed to see 35-plus minutes of action is worth a shot.
Pat Connaughton Goes Under 4.5 Rebounds
Connaughton had a big game on the glass in Game 2 with seven rebounds, but I don’t expect that to continue.
He's only gone over 4.5 rebounds six times in 19 playoff games this year, and even though WynnBET has the over on his prop at -130 odds, I’m going to take the under at +100.
Connaughton’s playing time has been inconsistent all postseason, but he’s averaging 3.9 boards in 22.5 minutes per game through the 19 games. With the Bucks trailing 2-0 in the series, it’s possible that Connaughton’s role could change tonight after he played 33 minutes in Game 2.
Even though he’s hit the over on 4.5 boards six times, Connaughton also has failed to do it in back-to-back contests this postseason. At +100 odds, it’s worth fading him tonight.