NBA Picks

NBA Finals Editors' Roundtable: Best Bets for Game 4

The Bucks are looking to even the NBA Finals against the Suns.
The Bucks are looking to even the NBA Finals against the Suns. / Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images

The NBA Finals is officially a series after the Milwaukee Bucks got on the board in Game 3 with a 120-100 win over the Phoenix Suns. 

Now, Milwaukee is a four-point favorite on WynnBET to take Game 4, and they have a playoff trend on their side to even the series. Vegas sees this series going to seven games once again, but WynnBET still has the Suns as -240 favorites to be crowned NBA champions.

The Bucks have been dominant at Fiserv Forum (8-1) this postseason, and they controlled the rebounding and points in the paint battle in their Game 3 victory. If the Suns can’t find a way to keep Deandre Ayton out of foul trouble, we could be looking at a third-straight 40-point game for Giannis Antetokounmpo in Game 4. 

With today being WynnBET Wednesday, there are plenty of great picks to use your free bet on in tonight’s game. We’ve covered some player props for Chris Paul and Anteotkounmpo, the two NBA Finals MVP favorites, but there are some more bets that our editors like in tonight’s game. 

If you want picks, you’ve come to the right place. Here are our editors’ best bets for Game 4 of the NBA Finals: 

Bobby Portis over 3.5 Rebounds (-160)

I am doubling down on my Bobby Portis pick to grab more than 3.5 rebounds in Game 4. 

WynnBET has set the over for this prop at -160 and the under at +125. Even though the over is a heavy favorite, I think this is as close to a sure thing as can be. 

When Portis plays over 15 minutes this postseason, he grabs at least four rebounds 75% of the time. For the playoffs, he’s averaging 5.2 rebounds a game. Portis is the energizer bunny for the Bucks and has played fantastic at Fiserv Forum this season. With Game 4 still in Milwaukee, I expect nothing less for Portis. -- Donnavan Smoot

Suns Moneyline (+160)

It seems pretty clear to me that the key player in this series is Deandre Ayton. When he’s on the court, the Suns can even out the biggest advantage the Bucks have which is rebounding. Ayton can also match up with Giannis Antetokounmpo and help prevent him from driving to the rim on every possession.

When Ayton is out of the game, like he was for stretches during Game 3 due to foul trouble, the Bucks can have their way with the Suns on offense. Ayton played 39 minutes in Game 1 and 42 minutes in Game 2, both which resulted in double-digit wins for Phoenix. Meanwhile, Ayton only played 24 minutes in Game 3 and the Suns lost by 20.

Is that a coincidence? I don’t think so. Unless you think Ayton is going to run into foul trouble for the second consecutive game, the Suns are the obvious play in this game and I’m going to get aggressive and take their moneyline at +160. -- Iain MacMillan

Khris Middleton Over 5.5 Assists (+115)

While Khris Middleton has struggled with his shot for most of the postseason, he’s actually been a fantastic distributor for the Bucks, especially in recent games. 

Middleton is averaging 5.2 assists per game this postseason, but he’s been even better since the Eastern Conference Finals, upping that number to 6.3 dimes per night. WynnBET has the over at +115 odds for him to tally over 5.5 assists in Game 4. 

This seems like a great value, as Middleton has totaled six or more assists in seven of his last 10 games, including eight and six assists performance in Game 2 and 3 of the NBA Finals. 

The Bucks finally committed to letting Giannis eat in the post in Game 3, which left Middleton (only 14 shots) in a little bit more of a playmaking role. If Middleton can contribute as a passer it will only help the Bucks, and I can’t pass up the over on this prop at plus odds. -- Peter Dewey

Brook Lopez Goes Over 16.5 Combined Points and Rebounds (-104)

Brook Lopez played just 21 minutes in Milwaukee's Game 3 win over the Suns. He still got to double figures in points with 11, but had just two rebounds in the process.

Tonight figures to be a much closer game as the Suns will need to adjust to Milwaukee's advantage for points in the paint. With Giannis Antetokoumpo expected to see more help and double teams from the Suns, I expect Lopez to take advantage with mismatches under the basket, leading to easy buckets and put-back opportunities off misses.

Over at WynnBET, Lopez's combined points and rebounds prop is listed at 16.5, with the under heavily juiced at -130 (bet $130 to win $100). Most books, including Wynn, opened at 15.5 and saw the number shoot up a full point right away. Lopez has hit the over on that total in the first two games of the series before falling short in Game 3. 

Grab the over 16.5 points and rebounds at almost no juice (-104) and watch him go to work on an undersized Suns defense. -- Ben Heisler

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